Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 3070.722793 3315.893008 3564.154661 3834.045237 4118.845776 4410.121841 4730.205925
2024-12-22 2638.604112 3000.506185 3380.661080 3808.515437 4275.385662 4768.134160 5326.253171
2024-12-29 2426.749006 2865.685554 3339.115957 3885.156890 4494.967307 5152.481838 5912.418539
2025-01-05 2234.918583 2726.438461 3268.703060 3907.149132 4633.984303 5431.480189 6368.338556
2025-01-12 2067.757086 2597.925129 3194.822001 3910.526933 4739.116352 5662.076508 6761.525668
2025-01-19 1860.143631 2406.925028 3035.048252 3801.768060 4703.960696 5723.522175 6954.181754
2025-01-26 1804.394313 2389.922650 3073.303532 3919.148473 4926.979428 6078.536456 7482.471294
2025-02-02 1734.266655 2349.718466 3079.102888 3993.965636 5097.035347 6370.533958 7937.680802
2025-02-09 1633.275519 2265.137093 3025.786993 3992.797268 5172.710459 6549.057503 8258.475321
2025-02-16 1528.759085 2170.170321 2954.408640 3964.684549 5211.773984 6681.070644 8522.185579
2025-02-23 1466.685438 2125.594750 2942.359292 4006.788079 5334.023972 6911.258354 8902.701519
2025-03-02 1388.403194 2055.829254 2894.950488 4001.544230 5395.538239 7066.545222 9192.534454
2025-03-09 1343.957937 2029.712247 2903.115435 4067.356953 5547.536449 7335.688608 9626.211286
2025-03-16 1263.188941 1951.293524 2840.688685 4040.687885 5582.127377 7460.437230 9884.578580
2025-03-23 1231.988041 1938.299359 2862.144281 4120.768177 5750.814148 7750.704355 10347.048823
2025-03-30 1180.620075 1894.836020 2841.099777 4143.743924 5845.598223 7948.760311 10696.254224
2025-04-06 1125.353456 1843.220030 2806.808625 4147.272654 5913.909389 8112.917436 11003.421635
2025-04-13 1031.016663 1731.625747 2687.228572 4033.636903 5826.938057 8078.529569 11060.073842
2025-04-20 1025.971851 1748.740683 2743.832865 4156.279275 6049.012344 8437.256766 11613.101962
2025-04-27 1006.030674 1742.870393 2767.816126 4234.428955 6212.783051 8722.500949 12075.084072
2025-05-04 960.788247 1697.371874 2734.644214 4233.208671 6270.525585 8871.425915 12364.384824
2025-05-11 909.109154 1639.858489 2682.402646 4203.845576 6289.215948 8968.998067 12587.801108
2025-05-18 883.149463 1620.459595 2683.598560 4247.820901 6405.969048 9193.912298 12975.406851